Current Aircraft Design Status

This section discusses the current status of forces and drivers that control design activities. It is followed by a review of civil and military aircraft design status. Read­ers are advised to search various Web sites on this topic.

1.3.1 Forces and Drivers

The current aircraft design strategy is linked to industrial growth, which in turn depends on national infrastructure, governmental policies, workforce capabilities, and natural resources; these are generally related to global economic-political cir­cumstances. More than any other industry, the aerospace sector is linked to global trends. A survey of any newspaper provides examples of how civil aviation is affected by recession, fuel price increases, spread of infectious diseases, and inter­national terrorism. In addition to its importance for national security, the military aircraft sector is a key element in several of the world’s largest economies. Indeed, aerospace activities must consider the national infrastructure as an entire system. A skilled labor force is an insufficient condition for success if there is no harmo­nization of activity with national policies; the elements of the system must progress in tandem. Because large companies affect regional health, they must share socio­economic responsibility for the region in which they are located. In the next two subsections, civil and military aircraft design status are discussed separately.

The current status stems from the 1980s when returns on investment in classical aeronautical technologies such as aerodynamics, propulsion, and structures began to diminish. Around this time, however, advances in microprocessors enabled the miniaturization of control systems and the development of microprocessor-based automatic controls (e. g., FBW), which also had an additional weight-saving bene­fit. Dramatic but less ostensive radical changes in aircraft management began to be embedded in design. At the same time, global political issues raised new concerns as economic inflation drove man-hour rates to a point at which cost-cutting measures became paramount. In the last three decades of the twentieth century, man-hour rates in the West rose four to six times (depending on the country), resulting in aircraft price hikes (e. g., typically by about six times for the Boeing 737) – accom­panied, of course, by improvements in design and operational capabilities. Lack of economic viability resulted in the collapse or merger/takeover of many well-known aircraft manufacturers. The number of aircraft companies in Europe and North America shrunk by nearly three quarters; currently, only two aircraft companies (i. e., Boeing and Airbus in the West) are producing large commercial transport air­craft. Bombardier Aerospace has risen rapidly to the third largest in the West and recently entered the large-aircraft market with an aircraft capacity of more than 100 passengers. Embraer of Brazil has also entered in the market.

Over time, aircraft operating-cost terminologies have evolved and currently, the following are used in this book (Section 16.5 gives details).

IOC – Indirect Operating Cost: Consists of costs not directly involved with the sortie (trip)

COC – Cash Operating Cost: Consists of the trip (sortie) cost elements FOC – Fixed Operating Cost: Consists of cost elements even when not flying DOC – Direct Operating Cost: = COC + FOC TOC – Total Operating Cost: = IOC + DOC

Because there are variances in definitions, this book uses these standardized defini­tions.

With rising fuel prices, air travelers have become cost-sensitive. In commercial aircraft operations, the DOC depends more on the acquisition cost (i. e., unit price) than on the fuel cost (2000 prices) consumed for the mission profile. Today, for the majority of mission profiles, fuel consumption constitutes between 15% and 25% of the DOC, whereas the aircraft unit price contributes between three and four times as much, depending on the payload range [5]. For this reason, manufacturing considerations that can lower the cost of aircraft production should receive as much attention as the aerodynamic saving of drag counts. The situation would change if the cost of fuel exceeds the current airfare sustainability limit (see Section 1.7 and Chapter 16). The price of fuel in 2008 was approaching the limit when drag – reduction efforts were regaining ground.

A major concern that emerged in the commercial aircraft industry from the mar­ket trend and forecast analysis of the early 1990s was the effect of inflation on air­craft manufacturing costs. Airline operators conveyed to aircraft manufacturers that unless the acquisition cost was lowered by a substantial margin, growth in air-traffic volume would prove difficult. In addition to this stringent demand, there was fierce competition among aircraft manufacturers and their subcontractors. Since the mid – 1990s, all major manufacturers have implemented cost-cutting measures, as have the subcontracting industries. It became clear that a customer-driven design strategy is the best approach for survival in a fiercely competitive marketplace. The paradigm of “better, farther, and cheaper to market” replaced, in a way, the old mantra of “higher, faster, and farther” [6]. Manufacturing considerations came to the forefront of design at the conceptual stage and new methodologies were developed, such as DFM/A and Six Sigma.

The importance of environmental issues emerged, forcing regulatory authorities to impose limits on noise and engine emission levels. Recent terrorist activities are forcing the industry and operators to consider preventive design features.

The conceptual phase of aircraft design is now conducted using a multidis­ciplinary approach (i. e., concurrent engineering), which must include manufac­turing engineering and an appreciation for the cost implications of early deci­sions; the “buzzword” is integrated product and process development (IPPD). Chapter 2 describes typical project phases as they are practiced currently. A chief designer’s role has changed from telling to listening; he or she synthesizes infor­mation and takes full command if and when differences of opinion arise. Margins of error have shrunk to the so-called zero tolerance so that tasks are done right the first time; the Six Sigma approach is one management tool used to achieve this end.