Prospects of the Ukrainian-Russian aviasanctions

At the end of September, 2015 the Ukrainian government announced aviation sanctions against the Russian Federation. On October 7 the taboo on air traffic was confirmed with profile departments and terms of its introduction are called. In day of local Ukrainian elections on October 25 the Russian air carriers lost the right to carrying out flights through Ukraine and to Ukraine. Aeronautic sanctions of Kiev were accompanied by a number of characteristics.

First, the legislative basis for a mode «the driven-in sky» proclaimed flights of the Russian airlines to the Russian Crimea. In one and a half years of carrying out those flights with intensity of a passenger traffic where above, than at all flights of Russian Federation-Ukraine-Russian Federation. Unfortunately, even own official version of check by practice did not sustain. The Russian company "Utair" did not fly and does not fly to the Crimea, however under a sanktsionny ban got.

Secondly, the best government in the Ukrainian history seriously counted on a unilateral mode of aviamarasmus. That is the symmetric reciprocal ban to carry out flights in the Russian Federation caused sincere indignation, condemnation, indignation – a full set of firm emotions «And us for what?!». With the surprising argument about equality of number of flights, about parity number of take-offs / landings, about a shtrafovaniye of the foreign companies on independently invented quotations, with other tremendous opening for the world of civil aviation.

Thirdly, consequences of prohibitive actions to count gathered nobody. As well as to find at least the minimum logic or a positive in the events. Whether it be in the sky or on the earth. Phantom pains of the Kiev reformers again compelled to shoot at own foot, now on a ladder of the passenger plane. Probably, there was a hope of precautionary character of a shot.

From a rupture of the aviation message between Russia and Ukraine 800.000 people are compelled to correct the movings between two countries and on the world. In annual expression it is a question of the sum of losses of hundreds millions dollars. These losses are distributed between passengers, airlines, the airports, services of the organization and carrying out the flights, accompanying service etc. These losses are negatively reflected in replenishment of budgets both in the Russian Federation, and in Ukraine. To consider a damage to comfort, the expense of time and nerves hardly probably in the material plan – but this damage more than is material.

The majority of flights between our countries was carried out by the Russian airlines. Following the results of the first six months 2015 the ratio looks like 2.5:1 (470.000 and 187.000 passengers respectively).
But on civil accessory of clients a proportion return. About 70 % of a passenger traffic were the share of owners of the Ukrainian passport, about 5 % for citizens of other states. Russians among traveling to Ukraine and from Ukraine – less than 25 % from total number of passengers.
The vivid basten, tiny and accurate airport in Zhulyanakh sent a half of flights in the Russian Federation and accepted from the Russian Federation! What commercial organization will cope with instant loss of a half of a turn?!
To add problems to own fellow citizens for the sake of the certain coded or unattainable purposes – quite in style of the present Ukrainian authorities.

Transit flights through the Ukrainian air space after sad date 7/17/2014 are almost stopped. Both Russia, and majority of the states of the world. The Ukrainian companies for flights to Asia have no alternative to the Russian air space. Same not cargoes from China to carry by the Russian Federation, it agrees прожектам the batono-governor of Odessa. In reality it is necessary to carry out it, with multiple growth of extent and costs of routes. It and to giants of type of Lufthansa burdensome, for the companies like MAU is at all very heavy. By the way, consultations about mutual renewal of air transit are initiated by Kiev even before input owing to aviation sanctions …

The Ukrainian elections of backward value are complete, the symbolics of fight with passenger «aggression of the Russian Federation» lost topical character. The West does not compensate kopeks from aviasanktsionny losses. Actually, from the West did not sound an approval word in this information occasion. Investment and credit appeal of Kiev remain at level «Come later, and is never better». The land transport message between Ukraine and Russia functions in a usual mode. Even crazy blockade of the Crimea concerns only supersize waggons and by and large – the Ukrainian agricultural producers and businessmen. Supply of gas, oil, coal and other energy resources take its course. The similar destiny expects also the aviation message between the Russian Federation and Ukraine.

At the first stages forces of the companies modest and little-known. With separate arrangements on performance of each flight, with the minimum media publicizing of flights. Optimism of the Belarusian, Baltic and Turkish air carriers – the most probable organizers of new routes for 800.000 people – while is very reserved and in practice moves ahead carefully. Adequate business cannot believe in voluntary and long-term nature of «the driven-in sky» between two large European states.

The actual task of the Ukrainian politicians who have strengthened monopoly of the power following the results of vote on October 25, 2015, is obvious. With the minimum image losses to get out of an air hole after own pre-election кульбитов. To think up numerous petitions of Rosaviation, to meet expectations of the carriers, businessmen, voters, working collectives. Not to take out chocolate factories from the Russian Federation, really. And original problems in civil aviation suffices and without artificial sanctions.

Dasha Gasanova